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Sunday, March 30, 2025

Utah’s Transfer Dependency in 2022 vs 1970: Shocking analysis

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John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

In 2022, government transfers accounted for 12.7% of total income in Utah, a 5.4% rise from 7.3% in 1970, and 0.6% decrease from 2012’s 13.3%, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group. On a per capita basis, this equates to $7,551 per resident in 2022, up from $5,809 in 2012 and $1,515 in 1970.

Among Utah’s counties, Uintah County saw the largest increase in transfer dependency over the past 10 years, surging 10.1% from 11.5% in 2012 to 21.6% in 2022, and up 14.3% from just 7.3% in 1970. In dollar terms, government transfers per capita in Uintah County jumped from $4,740 in 2012 to $7,862 in 2022, a stark contrast to the $1,387 recorded in 1970.

Duchesne County followed with the second-largest increase in transfer dependency, increasing 8.4% from 13.8% in 2012 to 22.2% in 2022, and an overall increase of 13.1% from 1970’s 9.1% transfer dependency. This trend is reflected in per capita amounts, with residents of Duchesne County receiving an average of $10,153 in transfer income in 2022, up from $6,486 in 2012 and more than double the $1,387 recorded in 1970.

Additionally, Carbon County and San Juan County had the highest percentage of income derived from government transfers, at 30.5% in 2022, making them the counties with the highest overall transfer dependency. Emery County and Sevier County followed closely behind, with transfer dependency rates of 29.2% and 26.2% in 2022, respectively.

For comparison, the statewide average was 12.7% in 2022, showing a lower dependency than the national average of 17.6%. On a per capita level, this translates to $7,551 per resident in 2022, compared to $11,542 nationwide.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In Utah, reliance on government transfers was just 7.3% (or $1,515 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970. This has since increased to 12.7% (or $7,551 per capita) in 2022, reflecting a total increase of 5.4% since 1970. This shift is largely influenced by increased healthcare costs, and economic transformations that have reshaped income sources across the U.S.

In 2022, the primary government transfer programs in Utah included:

  • Social Security: $2,543 (33.7% of total transfers)
  • Medicare: $1,655 (21.9% of total transfers)
  • Medicaid: $1,317 (17.4% of total transfers)
  • Income Maintenance Programs: $874 (11.6% of total transfers)

With 11.9% of the population aged 65 and older, Utah has a demand for programs like Social Security and Medicare. However, counties with higher poverty rates also show elevated Medicaid and income maintenance participation.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans' income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,022 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,542 per capita) in 2022 nationwide. In Utah, reliance on government transfers has similarly increased from 7.3% (or $1,515 per capita) in 1970 to 12.7% (or $7,551 per capita) in 2022.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Government Transfer Trends by County in Utah, 2022
CountyDependency on Transfers (%)Change Since 2012Change Since 1970Per Capita Amount (2022)Per Capita Change Since 2012Per Capita Change Since 1970
Beaver County23.3%2.6%10.2%$11,102$3,481$8,853
Box Elder County16.6%0%10.4%$7,727$1,632$6,427
Cache County14.2%0.4%6.3%$6,868$1,681$5,558
Carbon County30.5%7.7%19%$13,812$4,717$11,598
Daggett County24.7%7.7%17.2%$11,542$3,906$10,356
Davis County11.3%0.6%7%$6,554$1,606$5,661
Duchesne County22.2%8.4%13.1%$10,153$3,667$8,634
Emery County29.2%7.4%17.2%$11,537$4,164$9,608
Garfield County20.3%-1.1%8.3%$11,323$3,536$9,380
Grand County17.5%1.6%12%$12,259$4,351$11,075
Iron County23.1%0.3%15.3%$9,153$2,267$7,825
Juab County18.1%-2.1%5.6%$8,883$2,154$6,919
Kane County22.3%0.4%13.1%$11,398$2,578$9,684
Millard County21.6%1.2%10.9%$10,183$2,783$8,360
Morgan County9.1%-0.1%4%$6,199$1,381$4,994
Piute County24.4%-12.3%11.2%$15,964$5,381$13,963
Rich County19.2%3%11.4%$8,683$2,883$7,189
Salt Lake County11.9%-0.2%4.8%$7,872$1,907$6,240
San Juan County30.5%4.9%12.5%$10,857$3,867$8,536
Sanpete County24.5%1.6%11.9%$10,308$3,255$8,092
Sevier County26.2%1.7%15.2%$11,350$3,271$9,444
Summit County3.1%-1%-3.9%$7,022$2,431$5,394
Tooele County13.5%0.4%8.7%$6,275$1,316$5,217
Uintah County21.6%10.1%14.3%$7,862$3,122$6,475
Utah County10.6%-2.5%2.7%$5,728$947$4,437
Wasatch County7.9%-2.1%-1.4%$6,578$1,972$4,935
Washington County21%-2.8%10.4%$10,642$2,393$8,821
Wayne County23.3%0.6%11.6%$11,823$4,198$10,068
Weber County16%-0.2%8.7%$8,174$1,563$6,473

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